We have hesitated to write this article for the blog until the last moment as we are concerned that it might anger, disappoint, or encourage you depending upon your political persuasion. The election tomorrow is an important one. One which will have long lasting consequences not only financially but militarily. Additionally, the next President will be able to appoint two or three Justices to the Supreme Court which will leave an indelible imprint on this country.
Unfortunately, we believe that President Obama will be re-elected. Our opinion is based on several issues, some objective and other subjective. They are presented in no special order of importance:
1. The news media's continual support of the President
2. The polls, whether accurate or not, set national opinion
3. The 47%
4. The gridlock in Washington which is reflected in the gridlock in the country
5. Hurricane Sandy
Let us take a second to discuss each of these starting in reverse order. Prior to Hurricane Sandy, the momentum that Romney had, was another victim of the super storm. It stopped him in his tracks, threw off the scheduled campaign events and most importantly, allowed President Obama to "appear" Presidential as he walked the New Jersey shoreline with Republican Governor Chris Christy. One could have not created a better media event if you tried. This was such a big plus that anyone who was on the fence might easily be swayed by the news coverage.
Secondly, we have talked many times about the gridlock throughout the country. People are either pro-Republican or pro-Democrat and very few voters are in the "independent" class. The gridlock is not good for this country, nor is is good for Congress. However, when there are few voters in the middle, one small event, mis-spoken word, or moment of inattention can spell disaster. The voters and Congress are stuck in the mud and neither are willing to move. The result is a very small minority of voters will elect the President.
Next, one of the largest and growing problems in this country is what Romney called the "47%." When a large percentage of the populace derives its income from the government, it would be illogical for them to vote against the hand that is feeding them. According to the US Department of Health and Human Services there are 46.7 million people on food stamps, 5.6 million on unemployment and 4.3 million on welfare as of October 15, 2012. http://www.statisticbrain.com/welfare-statistics/ An additional 58 million are on Medicaid according to FamiliesUSA and many more will be added by 2014 when Obama Care comes fully into force. http://familiesusa.org/issues/medicaid/
If you look at all people receiving government checks, which include seniors, the number actually is 49.1%, however, if you exclude Social Security and Medicare, the number is still an unsustainable 35% according to an article in Slate. http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/explainer/2012/09/romney_says_47_percent_of_americans_receive_direct_government_assistance_is_that_true_.html
So lets use the 35% number instead of the 47%, which means that more than one in three Americans gets a check from the government and are not contributing to it. This is breaking the country and NO politician will do anything about it until a financial catastrophe befalls the US. These 35% will not vote for a fiscal conservatives such as Paul Ryan or Mitt Romney, it would not be in their own best interests. A vast majority of this group will vote for Obama as he has made it clear he will not cut their benefits.
The fourth reason we believe that Obama will be re-elected is that people like to vote for a winner and the polls have been telling us for weeks that he is the presumptive winner. Only a few outlying polls show Romney winning in the important states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Florida, New Hampshire and Virginia. You can't win the Presidency if the polls are against you. The only saving grace would be if the polls had gotten it all wrong, however, all of them can't be that bad!
Lastly, the media "lovefest" with Obama continues even though he has most recently shown his incompetence with Benghazi. Even there, the media seems not to be interested in four Americans dying due to Administration total disregard for their safety. Newscasts blatantly show favoritism by disregarding Obama's mis-steps and overplaying Romney's i.e.the 47%. There seems to be no balance. Americans drink in this sewage the networks produce and they do not expose the information to any critical thinking. Whether this is the result of "dumbing down" or the emphasis on celebrity rather than substance, are topics for another day. Today, Obama is a media darling, appearing on the "View" and with late night hosts such as Leno while avoiding Fox entirely. He wants easy shows where there will be no hard questions asked. Hard questions might cause him to really show his hand. If he is re-elected, the press can take responsibility. They elected him by their coverage.
Now you see why we believe that Obama will win. We hope that the election will have its "Truman" moment and that Romney stomps Obama as Michael Barone has predicted. The only way things can change is that Americans of all stripes come to a moment of truth tonight and make a conscious decision to vote for Romney who will at least attempt to right the ship of state. With Obama, the country will be lost and we will become another Argentina unable to feed ourselves, unable to manufacture anything and unable to provide for our senior citizens. This would not be the country in which we would like to live, nor do we suspect it is the one you would.
Let's all pray tonight for an enlightened populace. Please make us wrong.
Conservative Tom
Unfortunately, we believe that President Obama will be re-elected. Our opinion is based on several issues, some objective and other subjective. They are presented in no special order of importance:
1. The news media's continual support of the President
2. The polls, whether accurate or not, set national opinion
3. The 47%
4. The gridlock in Washington which is reflected in the gridlock in the country
5. Hurricane Sandy
Let us take a second to discuss each of these starting in reverse order. Prior to Hurricane Sandy, the momentum that Romney had, was another victim of the super storm. It stopped him in his tracks, threw off the scheduled campaign events and most importantly, allowed President Obama to "appear" Presidential as he walked the New Jersey shoreline with Republican Governor Chris Christy. One could have not created a better media event if you tried. This was such a big plus that anyone who was on the fence might easily be swayed by the news coverage.
Secondly, we have talked many times about the gridlock throughout the country. People are either pro-Republican or pro-Democrat and very few voters are in the "independent" class. The gridlock is not good for this country, nor is is good for Congress. However, when there are few voters in the middle, one small event, mis-spoken word, or moment of inattention can spell disaster. The voters and Congress are stuck in the mud and neither are willing to move. The result is a very small minority of voters will elect the President.
Next, one of the largest and growing problems in this country is what Romney called the "47%." When a large percentage of the populace derives its income from the government, it would be illogical for them to vote against the hand that is feeding them. According to the US Department of Health and Human Services there are 46.7 million people on food stamps, 5.6 million on unemployment and 4.3 million on welfare as of October 15, 2012. http://www.statisticbrain.com/welfare-statistics/ An additional 58 million are on Medicaid according to FamiliesUSA and many more will be added by 2014 when Obama Care comes fully into force. http://familiesusa.org/issues/medicaid/
If you look at all people receiving government checks, which include seniors, the number actually is 49.1%, however, if you exclude Social Security and Medicare, the number is still an unsustainable 35% according to an article in Slate. http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/explainer/2012/09/romney_says_47_percent_of_americans_receive_direct_government_assistance_is_that_true_.html
So lets use the 35% number instead of the 47%, which means that more than one in three Americans gets a check from the government and are not contributing to it. This is breaking the country and NO politician will do anything about it until a financial catastrophe befalls the US. These 35% will not vote for a fiscal conservatives such as Paul Ryan or Mitt Romney, it would not be in their own best interests. A vast majority of this group will vote for Obama as he has made it clear he will not cut their benefits.
The fourth reason we believe that Obama will be re-elected is that people like to vote for a winner and the polls have been telling us for weeks that he is the presumptive winner. Only a few outlying polls show Romney winning in the important states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Florida, New Hampshire and Virginia. You can't win the Presidency if the polls are against you. The only saving grace would be if the polls had gotten it all wrong, however, all of them can't be that bad!
Lastly, the media "lovefest" with Obama continues even though he has most recently shown his incompetence with Benghazi. Even there, the media seems not to be interested in four Americans dying due to Administration total disregard for their safety. Newscasts blatantly show favoritism by disregarding Obama's mis-steps and overplaying Romney's i.e.the 47%. There seems to be no balance. Americans drink in this sewage the networks produce and they do not expose the information to any critical thinking. Whether this is the result of "dumbing down" or the emphasis on celebrity rather than substance, are topics for another day. Today, Obama is a media darling, appearing on the "View" and with late night hosts such as Leno while avoiding Fox entirely. He wants easy shows where there will be no hard questions asked. Hard questions might cause him to really show his hand. If he is re-elected, the press can take responsibility. They elected him by their coverage.
Now you see why we believe that Obama will win. We hope that the election will have its "Truman" moment and that Romney stomps Obama as Michael Barone has predicted. The only way things can change is that Americans of all stripes come to a moment of truth tonight and make a conscious decision to vote for Romney who will at least attempt to right the ship of state. With Obama, the country will be lost and we will become another Argentina unable to feed ourselves, unable to manufacture anything and unable to provide for our senior citizens. This would not be the country in which we would like to live, nor do we suspect it is the one you would.
Let's all pray tonight for an enlightened populace. Please make us wrong.
Conservative Tom
The most telling statistic from the exit polls was that 88% of Romney's voters were white. Now that whites are a shrinking minority in this country, that is going to make it hard for Republicans unless they can gain more nonwhite voters (and women). It tough to win when you are losing virtually every demographic except old white men.
ReplyDelete--David
Wrong! Our country has become a "what's in it for me" society and far away from Kennedy's challenge. We no longer believe "what we can do for America" and now believe "what America can do for me!" This is completely unsustainable. America's run is finished and will end in the next 10 years!
ReplyDeleteWe will not be conquered militarily but will be taken over financially. One day the world will no longer purchase our debt and will be demanding that we buy it back. The Fed will not be able to, our credit ratings will fall and these debt holders will "demand" payment. What will we do? Give away part of the US?