Wednesday, December 19, 2012

America's Decline Defined

Some of you might have been wondering where Conservative Tom has gone. It is not that we have physically moved, however, emotionally we are in  a different place. After the election, which we had correctly called a day before (unfortunately), we went into a funk, a depressed state from which we have now recovered. We were so low as we felt this election was the most pivotal since 1864. In this election we, as Americans, determined the direction of our country for the next 100 years and friends, it is not a positive direction. However, we now understand the "plan" and have accepted it.

The decline of America comes from two different yet inter-related forces. The first is the change in the character of the electorate and the second is the way in which the leaders of the United States have treated Israel.

This election said loudly that those who are getting something from the government will cast their vote for someone who will give them stuff. It said that when you give cell phones, child care, welfare, food and health care to name a few, people will vote for you forever.  Rush Limbaugh had it right when he said it was a "Santa Claus election."  People will not vote for someone who wants them to be responsible for their own lives.

Additionally, the constant media support for the President, the polls which were totally inaccurate, the gridlock in Washington, all of which were contributors to Romney's loss. Even Mother Nature got in the act in in the name of Hurricane Sandy. (See our November 5 "Our Forecast For the 2012 Election" posting regarding these events and their effect on the election.)

Since 1950, this country has been on a downward slope. From that time we have not won a war (unless you think Granada or the first Iraqi adventure was a war); at that time having a item "Made in America" was the definition of a superior product; in 1950 we could out-manufacture, out- produce and out-invent any country in the world and our education system was the standard to which everyone strove.

From those days, our  morals have decayed to a point where just about anything (save marrying a horse--but that could be coming) is accepted as normal; patriotism that was inspirational and heartfelt is now false (remember Obama's flag pin); more marriages end in divorce than survive; our country's debt is astronomical and getting worse; Congress and the country are so divided that nothing can get done and being a public servant (i.e. Congressman/woman, Senator) has become a lifelong job rather than a short term public service after which you went home to live under the laws you passed.

 We had no welfare in 1950, the borders were secure and immigrants were required to have  a sponsor guarantee that they would not become a burden on society. Regulations were few and it was relatively easy to start a business. It did not take two salaries to provide a reasonable standard of living. Social Security was funded by those working and not encumbered by immigrants obtaining benefits without paying into the system or those who are able to work obtaining disability benefits because their unemployment ran out. These are just a few of the many changes we have seen.

Would Romney have been able to change the direction? Probably not much. He might have been able to reduce the speed of the decline however, the downward trend cannot be changed in any four or even eight year Presidency when it  has been ongoing for sixty years.

Obama will only speed the decline. We suspect that by 2016, we will have significant cap and trade legislation,  gun ownership restrictions if not being totally outlawed as well as significant changes in a number of other areas. 

In the next four years any successful, growing sector of the economy will be attacked and punished.  The life insurance and property casualty business, oil and gas, technology and fast food will be savaged.  This Administration will attack successful people, companies and industries in order to continue to feed the insatiable desire of the "takers."

If you study history, there are similar declines in great countries like Greece and Rome. It most often occurs when the taxpayers realize they can take money from the treasury. This all started in the 1930s with Social Security the other programs that were created after the Great Depression. However, the most significant event after 1950 was the Great Society programs of President Lyndon B. Johnson. From that time, there has been a steadily increasing decline in the country as more and more individuals transitioned from independence to government DE-pendence.

Other than draining the public treasury, what has caused this decline?  We believe there are two other reasons. First of all, democracies (ours is a constitutionally limited republic) only last for a period of time. Greece lasted just over 200 years and so did Rome. The United States has been around for 223 years since the Constitution was ratified and 236 years from the time of the Revolution.  So our time as a nation has run.

The second reason is that our decline closely coincides with the creation of the State of Israel in 1948.  Since its creation, this Jewish state has been attacked by surrounding Arab States in 1948, 1956, 1967 and in 1973 in full-out wars as well as skirmishes in Lebanon, the first and second Intifada, and Gaza to name a couple. 

The one constant element in all of these events was that the United States forced Israel to freeze their troops in place and later to make concessions for "peace."  The cease fire lines became the new borders from which Israel was forced to retreat.

Since the establishment of the State of Israel, the US State Department has consistently been on the side of the Arabs as they were concerned  we would lose our supply of oil. Additionally, most US Presidents have spoken glowingly in terms of "our best ally" or "the only democracy in the Middle East", however when it came time for negotiations the pressure was always on Israel to acquiesce to the Administration demands so that an agreement might be reached.

Even today, President Obama has told the world that "Israel has the right of self-defense" against the rockets fired from Gaza, however, he has not told his UN Ambassador go to the Security Council to condemn Hamas for raining missiles down onto civilians in Israel.  

We also remember both President George W. Bush as well as President Obama have insisted that discussions on a two state solution start with Israel's return to the 1967 lines "with modifications."  A friend does not demand that their friend put themselves in mortal danger as a precondition to a negotiation especially when the friend "won" the war.

In all of the wars that Israel has fought, it was American insistence that they stop their armies in place and start a cease fire. The unintended message that has been sent by the US is that the Americans will not let the Israelis totally defeat their attackers. 

The only way that Israel will be able to live in peace is  to totally decimate their enemies. A total win will leave no doubt in the mind of any resident of the Middle East who the victor was and what happens when you attack Israel. Ending hostilities prematurely only results in further attacks as soon as the perpetrators rearm. Recent attacks by Hamas are a great example.

Israel was created to be a homeland for the Jews after the Holocaust.  Had the Nazi Regime had not tried to wipe out all Jews, the country might never had come into being. Therefore, there was and continues to be a reason for this country to exist.  


So, why is Israel the reason for the US's decline?  In the Bible Genesis 12:3, G-d tells Avram (later to be known as Abraham)  that he will be the leader of a great people. He says (according to the King James Version):  "And I will bless them that bless thee, and curse him that curseth thee: and in thee shall all families of the earth be blessed."

Is American throttling of Israel, the cause of our decline? We think so. Any regime that condemns or persecutes the Jews,  is no longer. Egyptian Pharaohs  Spanish Monarchs, Roman Legions and Nazi Storm Troopers are all good examples. Are we next in line? We would hope not, however, it is not a coincidence that the timing of our decline is so closely tied to our treatment of Israel.

By its actions, the United States has cursed Israel and we are now being cursed. We will continue to be cursed until we change the ways we approach Israel.

So if we are correct, what should our leaders do?  They should completely re-think their approach to Israel. No longer should it be treated as the "little brother" to whom we can give instructions and expect them to comply.  We should support them 100%.

In addition to taking a different tack toward Israel, our leaders should announce a day of fasting and forgiveness  like the King of Nineveh did in the time of Jonah. They should all don sack cloth and put ashes on their head as a way of telling G-d that we have sinned and  from this day forward we will totally support Israel.  Will this occur? Of course, not! 

Therefore, we believe that even worse things are going to be visited upon the United States. It is preordained (as was the loss of this election and the hurricane) and that very bad times are coming to this country. Will it mean more hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, pestilence, crop failures, riots, insurrection or insect invasions? Or a major financial collapse? Or an EMP attack? Or an actual invasion? It would be presumptuous to predict what will occur but one might expect a Chinese menu. One from column a and one from column b and one each from column c-z.

We have found solace knowing the reason for the election loss, for the hurricane and for other events that are forthcoming.  No longer are we in a funk. We understand the plan. Now it is up to us to make the necessary preparations to protect our family as the United States falls apart.  Are you ready?


Conservative Tom





































8 comments:

  1. Fact-checking...

    You wrote…

    "Even today, President Obama has told the world that "Israel has the right of self-defense" against the rockets fired from Gaza, however, he has not told his UN Ambassador go to the Security Council to condemn Hamas for raining missiles down onto civilians in Israel. " 
    -------------------
    Here is the full text of speech given by UN Ambassador Susan Rice at the UN Security Council meeting on Gaza, November 14, 2012….

    "Thank you, Mr. President. Today, the United States strongly condemned the barrage of rocket fire from Gaza into southern Israel and expressed regret at the death and injury of innocent Israeli and Palestinian civilians caused by the ensuing violence. This evening, President Obama spoke with Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Morsi of Egypt about the developing situation in Gaza.
    President Obama told Prime Minister Netanyahu that he understands and supports Israel’s right to self-defense in light of countless rocket attacks on Israeli civilians being launched from Gaza. The President urged that Prime Minister Netanyahu make every effort to avoid civilian casualties, and agreed that Hamas needs to stop the attacks on Israel and allow the situation to de-escalate. The two leaders agreed to stay in close touch in the coming days.
    President Obama also spoke with President Morsi of Egypt, given Egypt’s critical role in regional security. Both agreed that everyone’s interests are best served by ensuring that this situation does not escalate. The two similarly agreed to stay in close touch over the coming days.
    The Government of Israel has noted that, since the beginning of 2012, more than 768 rockets have been fired into Israel from Gaza, and over 12,000 in the past 12 years. Israel, like any nation, has the right to defend itself against such vicious attacks.
    There is no justification for the violence that Hamas and other terrorist organizations are employing against the people of Israel. We call on those responsible to stop these cowardly acts immediately.
    Hamas claims to have the best interests of the Palestinian people at heart, yet it continues to engage in violence that does nothing but set back the Palestinian cause. Attacking Israel on a near daily basis does nothing to help Palestinians in Gaza nor to move the Palestinian people any closer to achieving self determination and independence.
    Thank you, Mr. President."
    ------------
    The world is not coming to an end just because Obama won the election. I fear his foreign policy on Iran, but domestically he is limited by gridlock in Congress. That is not going to change. Watch us go over the fiscal cliff as both sides settle on a deal in January that won't satisfy anybody. Economists agree that they need a $4-5 trillion package of taxes and spending cuts over 10 years, and I will be shocked if they get anywhere close.

    The "47 speech" is inaccurate on all the facts, and Romney even admitted it. Most of the "47%" are old people getting Social Security that they paid into themselves, students, elderly in nursing homes, and working poor who don't have enough income to require taxes. Instead of sucking money out of these people on low incomes or fixed incomes, how about Wall Street? As the economy continues to struggle out of a mess THEY created, their quarterly profits nearly hit an ALL-TIME high last quarter ($37 billion), and I am the only guy here screaming about it. Come on, Tom.

    --David

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  2. David, the 47% only includes 12% that are Social Security. The other 35% are free loaders. Half of the people do not pay taxes AT ALL.

    Medicare and Social Security are not "entitlements" as we all have paid into these programs. The problem is that some of the those receiving benefits have paid little or no money into them. For example, illegal immigrants.

    Another problem with Social Security is that since the downturn in 2008, Social Security Disability has had the biggest increase in usage since the program started. This is additional drag on the program which in the future will shorten the amount of time it is viable.

    The only answer is to take over the 401k programs, IRAs, 403B and 457 plans!

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  3. You should get your facts straight on this, Tom. The "other 35%" includes elderly people like my mother who worked hard her whole life and had to "spend down" every penny she had at the end of life to qualify for Medicaid to get into a nursing home. Are you calling HER a free-loader? Because our health care system is so screwed up, there are millions of old people like her. The solution is to fix the system, not throw these old people out on the street. Another part of the "35%" is WORKING poor people (some of them working a couple minimum wage jobs to feed their kids). Are you calling THEM free-loaders? A third category is students. A fourth category is all the millions of people who were WORKING and paying taxes before the 2008 financial crisis, and who will be working again as the economy recovers (there are still about 3 applicants for every job opening in the U.S.). Are you calling THEM free-loaders? As I said, even Romney finally looked at these facts and admitted that his "47% speech" was -- in his words -- "completely wrong." That was the most honest thing he ever said on the subject.

    Meanwhile, the Wall Street bankers have received TRILLIONS from the federal government, but you rarely have much to say about them. Let them pay for the financial mess THEY created. But no, they should never be asked to pay back another dime of the money they have gained through securities fraud, while driving millions into "47%" status.

    --David (OWS)

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  4. Another issue is that 47% don't pay income taxes, so why should they vote for anyone who would raise their taxes.

    On 1/1/13 when there is no settlement of the debt crisis, everyone's FICA taxes will go up 2%. I am sure that there will be lots of screaming--wrong. They won't even notice it!

    We need to cut spending.

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  5. >Another issue is that 47% don't pay income taxes, so why should they vote for anyone who would raise their taxes.

    By the same token, why should a Wall Street banker vote for anybody who would raise his taxes? Why would ANYBODY vote for ANYBODY who would raise their taxes? That it is why cutting taxes is more popular with politicians than raising taxes. Politicians love to play Santa Claus with BOTH taxes and spending.

    We need to balance both at around 20% of GDP, and that requires raising revenue by 3-4% AND cutting spending by 3-4% over 10 years. You can't realistically get to balanced budget in 10 years by only cutting spending.

    Unfortunately, the budget deficit is just a pretext for fighting over other issues. As a fiscal conservative, I applaud the Budget Control Act (BCA). It was passed by the House, the Senate, and signed into law by Obama. It is the ONLY thing that has become law that seriously addresses the $1 trillion deficit. It does massive deficit reduction.

    But almost nobody -- not even Conservative Tom -- wants it. The alternative -- which will be passed by Congress in January -- merely tinkers with the deficit problem and kicks the "grand bargain" can ($4-5 trillion package) down the road.

    --David

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  6. Despite all the media fretting about "fiscal cliff", I am still not sure what the bare minimum they must do to prevent the BCA sequester provisions from kicking in. Is it $1.2 trillion in combined tax increases/spending cuts or something else?

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  7. Good question, I have not heard an answer but will do some research.

    ReplyDelete

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