Monday, July 20, 2015

Walker And Trump Lead Bush By Significant Margin In Iowa.

Poll: Walker Holds Firm Lead Over Trump in Iowa

Image: Poll: Walker Holds Firm Lead Over Trump in Iowa(REUTERS/Jim Young)
By Courtney Coren   |   

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is leading businessman Donald Trump among likely Iowa Republican voters in the latest poll released by Monmouth University on Monday.

Walker, who officially entered the race for the White House a week ago, is leading Trump by 9 percentage points in the home of the first presidential caucus, in the Monmouth University Poll taken July 16-19 of Iowa voters.

The poll, which has a 4.6 percent margin of error, placed the candidates' support at:
  • Walker: 22 percent
  • Trump: 13 percent
  • Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson: 8 percent
  • Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush: 7 percent
  • Texas Sen. Ted Cruz: 7 percent
  • Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee: 6 percent
  • Florida Sen. Marco Rubio: 5 percent
  • Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul: 5 percent
  • Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal: 4 percent
  • Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum: 3 percent
  • Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry: 3 percent
  • Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina: 3 percent
Ohio Gov. John Kasich, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former New York Gov. George Pataki, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham and former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore all received 2 percent or less of the vote as the first choice pick among Iowa GOP voters.

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Walker also leads all the other candidates in every major category: among tea party supporters, conservatives, evangelicals, men, women, and among voters who are under 50. Seventy-three percent of Iowa Republicans also said they have a favorable view of Walker.

The Wisconsin governor has been the top pick among Republicans in the Hawkeye State since January.

While Trump has faced backlash following the comments he made about Arizona Sen. John McCain on Saturday, questioning his status as a war hero, the pollsters at Monmouth University noted that voters' support of Trump was mostly unaffected.

During the first two days of the poll, on Thursday and Friday, 13 percent of the respondents said their pick was Trump, vs. 19 percent who picked Walker. On Saturday and Sunday, 13 percent still favored real estate mogul, while Walker's support rose to 25 percent.

"Walker has been a favorite of Iowa voters ever since his well-received appearance at the Iowa Freedom summit in January," said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

"More recently, Trump has outmaneuvered the rest of the field to earn the second spot despite his controversial statements over the weekend," Murray said.

The Monmouth University Poll director also noted that Jindal is now "among the top ten candidates in Iowa, but his showing in the national polls makes it unlikely he will gain entry to the first debate.”

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