How Did Conservatives Do In
Key Elections?
whom the Republican Governors
Association abandoned in late summer
because of what the organization’s
leadership said was a poorly run campaign,
came up a big winner last night in defeating
Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway.
Bevin’s victory margin was 53-44%.
The major institutions from both parties
The major institutions from both parties
were wrong about the race. The RGA pulling out, only to return with a late $2 million ad buy,
and the pollsters providing support for the analysis that Conway had the advantage were
proved incorrect by a substantial margin.
About a week before the election both Survey USA and Western Kentucky University found
About a week before the election both Survey USA and Western Kentucky University found
Conway to be holding a 45-40% lead, almost the exact opposite of the final result. Vox Populi,
which released the poll closest to the election, correctly found Bevin gaining momentum
going into Election Day. Their last ballot test projected the candidates tied at 44% but the
sample seemed to possess a slight Republican skew. The actual results, however,
proved the Vox methodology, as it related to turnout model projection, sound.
In winning, Mr. Bevin is only the second Republican to become Governor since World War
In winning, Mr. Bevin is only the second Republican to become Governor since World War
II ended. The only other GOP winner was former Rep. Ernie Fletcher (R-KY-6), who held
the Governor’s mansion for one term after winning the 2003 election.
In other Kentucky statewide races, Democratic state Auditor Adam Edelen, who was being
In other Kentucky statewide races, Democratic state Auditor Adam Edelen, who was being
tested as a possible opponent to Sen. Rand Paul (R), fell to Republican Mike Harmon.
Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes (D), who challenged Senate Majority Leader
Mitch McConnell (R) in the 2014 election, barely held onto her position with a 51-49% win.
Democrat Andy Beshear, son of outgoing Gov. Steve Beshear (D), captured the open
Attorney General’s position with a very slim 2,194-vote margin from more than 950,000
cast ballots.
Kentucky, notwithstanding, the night belonged to incumbents. In the Virginia legislature,
Kentucky, notwithstanding, the night belonged to incumbents. In the Virginia legislature,
both the full House and Senate stood for election and not one incumbent from either party
was defeated. The chamber division remained constant, with Republicans holding their
majorities in both houses: a tight 21-19 margin in the state Senate, and a whopping 66-34
in the House of Delegates.
The evening’s other gubernatorial election, in Mississippi, saw Gov. Phil Bryant (R) record
The evening’s other gubernatorial election, in Mississippi, saw Gov. Phil Bryant (R) record
a 66-32% re-election win in a race that was never in doubt from the campaign’s early stages.
All of the statewide incumbents were re-elected, including Attorney General Jim Hood who is
the only remaining Democratic statewide elected official in the Deep South.
Here, too, incumbents ruled the day in the legislative races. In the 52-member Mississippi
Here, too, incumbents ruled the day in the legislative races. In the 52-member Mississippi
state Senate, just one incumbent, a Republican was defeated. Four state Representatives,
three of whom are Democrats, lost their positions in the 122-member state House.
Good news came for Democrats in the country’s Mid-Atlantic region. In New Jersey, where
Good news came for Democrats in the country’s Mid-Atlantic region. In New Jersey, where
the 40 legislative districts send two Assemblymen apiece to the state capitol in Trenton,
four Republican incumbents lost their seats. The results expanded the Democratic
majority to 52-28. The state Senate was not up for election in the 2015 political cycle.
Turning to neighboring Pennsylvania, Democrats successfully swept the three state
Turning to neighboring Pennsylvania, Democrats successfully swept the three state
Supreme Court positions and wrestled the panel majority away from Republicans.
These results will likely come into play during the post-census redistricting cycle when
lawsuits are certain to find their way to the state’s highest court.
With the Kentucky and Mississippi GOP wins, the new nationwide gubernatorial total
With the Kentucky and Mississippi GOP wins, the new nationwide gubernatorial total
features 32 Republicans, 17 Democrats, and 1 Independent, the largest Republican
advantage in generations. Source: AAN
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