Saturday, January 30, 2016

Will This Final Poll Indicate Who Wins The Iowa Caucuses?

Latest Des Moines Register Poll 

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Presidential Candidate at Top of Polls

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Real estate billionaire turned Republican presidential candidate Donald J. Trump leads the GOP field in Iowa before voting begins on Monday, February 1, according to the final Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politicspoll unveiled Saturday evening.
Trump finishes in the top spot with 28% of support among Republicans in the Hawkeye State, followed by Senators Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) with 23 and 15 percent, respectively.
As the Wall Street Journal pointed out, Trump now overtakes Cruz in the Iowa polling.
Trump breaches the ±4% margin of error by just one percent, but more noticeable is Rubio surpassing retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who fell to just 10%. Here are the results, via Bloomberg:
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According to the Des Moines Register, GOP strategist Stuart Stevens said Trump could very well win the Iowa caucuses, but cautioned:
“But he has little room for error. He is almost no one’s second choice.”
Far behind the double digit-polling candidates are Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) at 5%, New Jersey governor Chris Christie at 3%.
Behind them are former governors Jeb Bush and Mike Huckabee, businesswoman Carly Fiorina, former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.), and Ohio governor John Kasich all sitting at 2 percent.
And while Trump maintains a lead in Iowa with the final results of Iowa’s top poll before voting starts, the race will certainly be close and hard-fought.

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