The Path to the Presidency
The critical March 15th primaries were held during the week, and they
proved as definitive as predicted; in fact, even more so. The mild surprise
came on the Democratic side as former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
ially clinch the party nomination. Effectively, the March 15th primaries in
On the Republican side, Donald Trump took four of the five state
primaries, but losing Winner-Take-All Ohio to the state’s Governor, John Kasich,
keeps the door open for Trump’s remaining opponents to force a contested
convention. After Trump’s strong victory in Winner-Take-All Florida, home
state Sen. Marco Rubio suspended his presidential campaign. His 172
pledged delegates,
earned in previous primaries and caucuses, remain in abeyance.
Sen. Rubio can release the delegates, and then they would become
unbound votes, or he can keep them. In the latter scenario, these
individuals would vote for Rubio on the first ballot at the Republican
National Convention. This could be a meaningful group if Trump does
not have the necessary 1,237 votes to claim the nomina
tion.
Though Trump is now in the 675-range for delegates, he still needs
approximately 55-57% of the remaining pool to reach the victory plateau.
Kasich and Sen. Ted Cruz working together to strategically deny Trump
delegates especially in Winner-Take-All by congressional district states
(Wisconsin, Maryland, Connecticut, Indiana, California) could
conceivably keep the race leader from winning on the first ballot. Most
delegates become freed on the second ballot, meaning the voting could
continue for several rounds. The convention will remain in session until a
nominee is chosen.
The next set of primaries and caucuses will take center stage on March
22nd, and features voting in Arizona and Utah for both parties. Democrats
will vote in Idaho, Republicans in American Samoa. Arizona, with 58
Republican delegates, is the last of the large Winner-Take-All states.
Source: AANproved as definitive as predicted; in fact, even more so. The mild surprise
came on the Democratic side as former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
ially clinch the party nomination. Effectively, the March 15th primaries in
On the Republican side, Donald Trump took four of the five state
primaries, but losing Winner-Take-All Ohio to the state’s Governor, John Kasich,
keeps the door open for Trump’s remaining opponents to force a contested
convention. After Trump’s strong victory in Winner-Take-All Florida, home
state Sen. Marco Rubio suspended his presidential campaign. His 172
pledged delegates,
earned in previous primaries and caucuses, remain in abeyance.
Sen. Rubio can release the delegates, and then they would become
unbound votes, or he can keep them. In the latter scenario, these
individuals would vote for Rubio on the first ballot at the Republican
National Convention. This could be a meaningful group if Trump does
not have the necessary 1,237 votes to claim the nomina
tion.
Though Trump is now in the 675-range for delegates, he still needs
approximately 55-57% of the remaining pool to reach the victory plateau.
Kasich and Sen. Ted Cruz working together to strategically deny Trump
delegates especially in Winner-Take-All by congressional district states
(Wisconsin, Maryland, Connecticut, Indiana, California) could
conceivably keep the race leader from winning on the first ballot. Most
delegates become freed on the second ballot, meaning the voting could
continue for several rounds. The convention will remain in session until a
nominee is chosen.
The next set of primaries and caucuses will take center stage on March
22nd, and features voting in Arizona and Utah for both parties. Democrats
will vote in Idaho, Republicans in American Samoa. Arizona, with 58
Republican delegates, is the last of the large Winner-Take-All states.
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