The following post was on the Blaze regarding the voting blocks that voted strongly for Obama in 2008. As you go down the list you will see that there is erosion everywhere (at this point in time.) But before you start your election celebration, one very strong note of caution. Do NOT assume this election is in the bag for several reasons. They are:
1. Let there be no doubt that Obama wants to continue being President. He has never lost at anything and losing at being President would devastate him. He believes he will win otherwise he would not have told the Russians that he "would have more flexibility after his "last" election. Additionally, what would Michelle do if she did not have the money to go on these extensive and expensive trips on the taxpayers dollar.
2. Obama and the people who surround him will do anything in their power to stay in the White House. They feel they can change the country to their view and they are not finished. They will use dirty tricks, voter fraud, outright lies and deceit to make sure they win. Nothing in Romney's or his VP's background will be "off limits." Expect to hear from former girlfriends, former partners, former Massachusetts politicians, former Olympics workers and anyone else who had a disagreement with him or who did not agree with the way he did his work. Also expect to hear about skeletons in the family tree. Any member of the family who ever had a speeding ticket or a drunk driving conviction will be fair game including Mrs. Romney and their children. This will be the most dirty, personal campaign since Andrew Jackson's.
3. We expect to see Obama use the Office of the President to make sure that his constituencies remain loyal. He will announce programs that placate Hispanic (proposing new rules on illegal immigrants) and Jewish voters (additional money and arms to Israel) who it looks like he is losing in significant numbers according to the following article. Also expect a revision of the ObamaCare rule on abortions which has angered Catholics. Additionally, you should expect some sort of financial stimulus for the economy itself such as a money sent to every taxpayer in October. In addition, we believe the way unemployment is counted will be modified to make the numbers look better especially the September and October reports which come out just before the election. (We still believe that those "numbers" will be in the 5-6% range that he needs to get re-elected).
4. He also might start a war somewhere. Would he love to take on the Syrians? Iranians? It's called wag the dog and he might employ such a move.
5. He might start riots around the country. Should Zimmerman be set free, would his minions start riots? Or would there be another spark that starts the civil disturbances? Regardless, if there were fires, death and mayhem occurring in cities around the country, would he call off the elections using the excuse that it would be unsafe to hold them? Is this the reason for the purchasing of all the weapons, body bags, and ammunition?
6. If all else fails, we believe that to win, he needs some event or catastrophe to cause the American public to fall in behind him. Whether it will be a Bundestag type event, an attack such as 9/11 or Pearl Harbor or something else of this nature, it has to be major, un-expected, and cataclysmic. We would hope that the Administration would NOT have a part of the planning and execution, but it definitely would ensure that he was re-elected. Is this group so driven that they would do something like this to Americans? You answer the question. All we can say is, we sure do hope not.
The only way we can assure that Obama is a one term President (assuming a total takeover of the government and a cancellation of elections) is to continue to talk to independent voters and convince them to cast their vote for Romney. Independents hold the key and we must win that battle not for this election but for the future of the United States.
Conservative Tom
1. Let there be no doubt that Obama wants to continue being President. He has never lost at anything and losing at being President would devastate him. He believes he will win otherwise he would not have told the Russians that he "would have more flexibility after his "last" election. Additionally, what would Michelle do if she did not have the money to go on these extensive and expensive trips on the taxpayers dollar.
2. Obama and the people who surround him will do anything in their power to stay in the White House. They feel they can change the country to their view and they are not finished. They will use dirty tricks, voter fraud, outright lies and deceit to make sure they win. Nothing in Romney's or his VP's background will be "off limits." Expect to hear from former girlfriends, former partners, former Massachusetts politicians, former Olympics workers and anyone else who had a disagreement with him or who did not agree with the way he did his work. Also expect to hear about skeletons in the family tree. Any member of the family who ever had a speeding ticket or a drunk driving conviction will be fair game including Mrs. Romney and their children. This will be the most dirty, personal campaign since Andrew Jackson's.
3. We expect to see Obama use the Office of the President to make sure that his constituencies remain loyal. He will announce programs that placate Hispanic (proposing new rules on illegal immigrants) and Jewish voters (additional money and arms to Israel) who it looks like he is losing in significant numbers according to the following article. Also expect a revision of the ObamaCare rule on abortions which has angered Catholics. Additionally, you should expect some sort of financial stimulus for the economy itself such as a money sent to every taxpayer in October. In addition, we believe the way unemployment is counted will be modified to make the numbers look better especially the September and October reports which come out just before the election. (We still believe that those "numbers" will be in the 5-6% range that he needs to get re-elected).
4. He also might start a war somewhere. Would he love to take on the Syrians? Iranians? It's called wag the dog and he might employ such a move.
5. He might start riots around the country. Should Zimmerman be set free, would his minions start riots? Or would there be another spark that starts the civil disturbances? Regardless, if there were fires, death and mayhem occurring in cities around the country, would he call off the elections using the excuse that it would be unsafe to hold them? Is this the reason for the purchasing of all the weapons, body bags, and ammunition?
6. If all else fails, we believe that to win, he needs some event or catastrophe to cause the American public to fall in behind him. Whether it will be a Bundestag type event, an attack such as 9/11 or Pearl Harbor or something else of this nature, it has to be major, un-expected, and cataclysmic. We would hope that the Administration would NOT have a part of the planning and execution, but it definitely would ensure that he was re-elected. Is this group so driven that they would do something like this to Americans? You answer the question. All we can say is, we sure do hope not.
The only way we can assure that Obama is a one term President (assuming a total takeover of the government and a cancellation of elections) is to continue to talk to independent voters and convince them to cast their vote for Romney. Independents hold the key and we must win that battle not for this election but for the future of the United States.
Conservative Tom
Why Obama Will Lose In A Landslide
*Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not good news for Obama.
*Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. If Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an extra 10% to 15% of Hispanic voters (plus lock down Florida). This is not good news for Obama.
*Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama’s Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is not good news for Obama.
*Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
*Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.
*Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time around, and I’m a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40 percent of them in my circle of friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give someone different a chance.” I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business…that he’d support unions over the private sector in a big way…that he’d overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can’t find one person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good news for Obama.
*Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
*Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception…it’s having a job to pay for contraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their children’s future. This is not good news for Obama.
*Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn’t vote for Obama four years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote for him today.” Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?
Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas oddsmaker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It’s Reagan-Carter all over again.
But I’ll give Obama credit for one thing- he is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.
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