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Showing posts with label S and P. Show all posts
Showing posts with label S and P. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

If Soros Is Betting On A Drop In The Market--It Probably Will Happen.

Soros Doubles Down on Bearish S&P 500 Bet

Tuesday, 18 Feb 2014 12:09 PM
By Dan Weil
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Soros Fund Management, which is chaired by legendary hedge fund manager George Soros, has more than doubled its negative bet on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.

The 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission shows that Soros Fund Management increased its position in puts on the SPDR S&P 500 exchange-traded fund by a hefty 154 percent in the fourth quarter from the third, MarketWatch reported.

Puts give their owner the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying security at a set price.



The dollar value of the position soared to $1.3 billion from around $470 million and now accounts for 11.13 percent of the firm's portfolio. The amount has fluctuated up and down for the last two years, falling to $107 million in the fourth quarter of 2012 and rising to $1.2 billion in the second quarter of 2013, according to MarketWatch.

Trading at 1,840 Tuesday morning, the S&P 500 stands less than 1 percent from its Jan. 15 record high of 1851. It hasn't suffered a correction of at least 10 percent since October 2011.

So some experts, like Soros, think a sharp drop is overdue. The S&P 500 slid 6 percent from the beginning of the year until Feb. 5. While it has erased almost all that loss, Todd Schoenberger, managing partner at hedge fund firm LandColt Capital, said earlier this month that the fall isn't complete.

"Is the correction over? Absolutely not! [This] is a sucker's rally," he told USA Today.

"Markets are rallying on false hope that the economy and future earnings reports will be strong enough to sustain a 2014 bull market. The key takeaway here: buyer beware."



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Sunday, October 23, 2011

Paul Proposes Major Cuts

Today on NBC's Meet the Press reiterated  his statement that is reproduced below. Although we disagree with the candidate on some of his isolation-ship ideas, his fiscal ideas are the tough medicine that the country needs if we are not going to become another Greece.

For all the anger against S&P by politicians and media commentaries, it appears as if the other major rating agencies (Moody's and Fitch) are ready to join in downgrading the creditworthiness of the country.  Is anyone in the Administration or in Congress listening?  Or is their tin ear ignoring the warning bells?

It will take drastic cuts of the type Representative Paul is proposing if we are to right the ship of state. The changes will be short term painful, however, if we don't, the result will be unimaginable. If you want to know what it might look like, imagine the worst condition and multiply it by ten times.

So if we are to do the right thing, major changes in government agencies and programs must be made. Will we demand that of our leadership or will we await the inevitable? It is your decision.

Here is the article:




Paul Will Eliminate $1 Trillion, Cut Presidential Salary By $360,664

October 18, 2011 by  
Paul Will Eliminate $1 Trillion, Cut Presidential Salary By $360,664
UPI.COM
President Ron Paul would drastically cut Federal spending in his first year, according to his “Restore America” plan.
GOP Presidential candidate Ron Paul in a recent email to supporters said that he has been given only 18 minutes, 47 seconds to speak during the past three debates; mainstream ignorance of the candidate may end with his Monday release of a budget plan announcing about $1 trillion in specific Federal budget cuts.
According to The Wall Street Journal, Paul’s plan calls for the massive cuts to be made during his first year in office along with the elimination of five cabinet-level  agencies and the lowering of corporate tax rates from 35 to 15 percent.
The candidate’s “Restore America” plan is focused on drastically reducing government reach to spur American business growth. This will be accomplished in part by repealing Obamacare, last year’s Wall Street regulations law and the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.
Paul also calls for a 10 percent reduction in the Federal workforce which may be achieved by eliminating the Departments of Education, Commerce, Energy, Interior and Housing and Urban Development.  He also calls for a 30 percent budget cut to the Environmental Protection Agency, a 40 percent cut to the Food and Drug Administration, slashed Pentagon funding for foreign wars and completely eliminating spending on foreign aid, according to POLITICO.
The Congressman from Texas also wants to see programs like Medicaid, the Children’s Health Insurance Program, food stamps, family support programs and the children’s nutrition program block-granted to the States and removed from mandatory Federal expenditures. In regard to Social Security, his campaign says that the plan “honors our promise to our seniors and veterans, while allowing young workers to opt out.”
In his plan, Paul also ensures voters that he is not going to make massive Federal budget cuts while living like a fat cat politician. He plans to reduce the Presidential salary from $400,000 yearly to $39,336 a year, which the plan says is “approximately equal to the median personal income of the American worker.”