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Showing posts with label blue wave. Show all posts

Friday, November 9, 2018

Do Liberals Really Think That Identity Politics Is More Important Than Self Interest? Apparently So!

Liberals blame white women for Democrats’ failures in midterm elections — and they’re vicious

Nov 7, 2018 7:26 pm

Prominent liberal voices attacked and blamed white women for ruining their "blue wave" of Democratic votes in the midterm elections. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Prominent liberal voices offered scathing critiques of the demographic they blamed most for the lack of “blue wave” victory in the midterm elections on Tuesday — white women.

White women uphold white supremacy

Despite the onslaught of free campaign publicity for Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) in his uphill attempt to unseat incumbent Senator Ted Cruz (R-Texas), and the millions that poured into the contest, Cruz was able to hold on to his seat. Although the House of Representatives fell under control of the Democrats, many were disappointed at the lack of greater electoral successes.

Many on the left saw this and the deflation of the “blue wave” as evidence that white women were not pulling their weight at the polling booth to help their progressive vision come to fruition.

And they aired out their frustrations on social media.

Liberal activist Marisa Kabas tweeted, “white women uphold white supremacy through their vote. they have no qualms about hurting women of color, and that’s an objective truth.”

“Black women voted 95% for Beto. White women did what white women do,” said comedian and writer Travon Free, adding an image showing that 59 percent of white women voted for the re-election of Senator Ted Cruz (R-Texas).

Some conservatives on social media saw the irony of blaming white women for voting for a Hispanic candidate, simply because he’s Republican.

“59% of white women voted for Ted Cruz,” said white female comedian Chelsea Handler. “I don’t know what it is going to take for us to be sisters to other women, but we have to do better than this.”

“We need to vote for the best interests of others, and stop thinking only about ourselves.”

“White women are a Republican constituency, and in many states they again voted as if patriarchy would protect them,” said frequent MSNBC guest Jamil White. “50 percent or more for DeSantis, Cruz, and Kemp.”

“I am unsure when they will understand the damage that they do, and not just to themselves.”

“Really, truly embarrassed that 76% of white women in Georgia voted for Kemp. It’s shameful. Humiliating,” said New York Magazine writer,

“Thinking about driving my ass down there next election and personally talking to as many of these fools as possible.”

“We have to do better, white women. Doing f**king SOMETHING would be a g***amn start,” tweeted liberal writer Courtney Enlow. “Have the awkward conversations, take the emotional labor off the backs of women who have more on their g***amn plate than we ever will. Do. Better.”

Monday, August 20, 2018

Is This A CBS Planted Story Or Real?

CBS pollster who saw Trump’s 2016 win coming throws ice on Democrats’ promised ‘blue wave’

8 hours

Image source: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

For millions of Americans, Donald Trump’s presidential victory in 2016 was a shock; they never saw it coming. But some did, including Anthony Salvanto, CBS News’ director of elections and surveys. He’s a seasoned pollster who can spot polling trends better than most.

Now, he’s set his sights on the 2018 midterm elections, whose results will greatly influence the 2020 presidential contest, and he’s identified a trend Democrats will not like: The “blue wave” they promised is looking less and less likely that it will come to fruition.

What are the details?

For 2018, Salvanto is focusing his energy on CBS’ ongoing tracking poll, instead of popularized random surveys. This allows him to track the sentiment of the same large group of demographically diverse people over a long period of time, which makes spotting trends much easier. And for 2018, the trends are already clear, he told the New York Post.

For 2018, the CBS News Battleground Tracker has gathered a panel of nearly 5,700 registered voters. Almost all of them live in the 50 to 60 districts that might switch from Republican to Democrat, or vice versa, in November — the only races that matter, when it comes to control of Congress.

Salvanto’s polling currently indicates that few House seats will change hands in November — and that the GOP could very well hold its majority in the House.

“In this era, a district’s voting patterns from the past tend to stay that way,” Salvanto said. “Not as many partisans today are willing to cross party lines.”

Of the nation’s 435 House districts, fully 85 percent will almost certainly stick with its current party affiliation come November, Salvanto projects.

Indeed, midterm elections are “the most interesting and difficult challenge” pollsters face, Salvanto said. That’s for two reasons: Voter turnout is much lower and only a few dozen races are competitive.

That means pollsters must home in on the races believed to be competitive. It’s in those races that pollsters can best gauge where the election is heading. However, choosing those races can be difficult, although he and his colleague have tools they can rely on, such as demographic indicators and campaign spending.

So what’s he predicting for 2018?

Salvanto told the Post that Republicans will likely fend off the promised “blue wave.”

“Right now I think this election looks like a toss-up. We see a Democrat pickup in the House of Representatives in the 20-odd seat range, but Republicans could certainly hold on to the House,” Salvanto said.

“Even though Republicans have not fared well in special elections so far this cycle, it does look like they will be turning out for the midterms. So far we do not see a large number of Republicans saying they will flip and vote for a Democrat,” he explained.

Currently, Republicans have a 43-seat majority in the House. And while the GOP certainly doesn’t want to lose seats there, the party’s main concern is retaining — or even growing — its majority in the Senate, where they hold a two-seat majority.

How can Democrats win?

“They have to bring new voters in,” Salvanto told the Post. “A large number of Democrats are contesting districts they have not contested before. That has new people coming into politics — younger, more women, more ethnicities — making for some interesting dynamics.”

However, the Democratic Party’s current strategy of simply opposing President Donald Trump will not succeed, he warned.

“Voters say the Democrats need to do more than just oppose Trump,” Salvanto said. “They’re asking, ‘What are they arguing we’ll get if they take the majority?'”

Moreover, media coverage may hamper Democrats’ ability to win in November. With near-constant negative coverage of the president, Republicans, which overwhelmingly support Trump, “feel driven to come to his defense,” Salvanto said, which means Republican turnout may be higher than normal in November.

Friday, July 13, 2018

Could Blue Wave Turn Into A Trickle Or Worse?

Nancy Pelosi terrified by shocking new poll (WOW!)

JULY 13, 2018

It’s starting to look like the so-called “blue wave” that’s supposed to sweep Democrats into power is turning into salty blue tears — and that’s very bad news for House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, who has staked her political future on winning the 2018 midterm elections.

The party, just months ago leading in major polls and plotting to take over BOTH houses of Congress, now stands on the brink of another humiliating defeat as Republican candidates take a lead in several key races.

Right now, the GOP holds a slim 51-47 lead in the Senate. Two independents who caucus with Democrats essentially turn it into a slim 51-49 split. With Sen. John McCain at home as he battles cancer, that makes it a razor-thin 50-49.

Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer have both been fantasizing about picking up two seats – just two – to allow them to become majority leaders and drive the left’s agenda in opposition to everything President Donald Trump says or does.

Now, it looks like that’s all it is: a fantasy.

With Democrats defending more seats than Republicans and in states that voted for Trump, they can’t afford to lose a single seat.

But right now, they’re on pace to lose at least THREE!

Florida: Rick Scott, a Republican, is looking to unseat Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.), and if the latest polls are any indication the Sunshine State is going to have a new senator next year. Scott is leading a new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll by 3 points, 49-46.The 75-year-old Nelson was leading in most polls until spring. Then, he hit a wall. Real Clear Politics has Scott leading in three of the last four polls, running ahead of Nelson by an average of 2 points.
North Dakota: It looks like Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.) is in a whole lot of trouble in this deep red state, where Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.) is ahead by 5 points, 42-47, in the Axios/SurveyMonkey poll.There has been little polling of this race, but North Dakota is part of the core of Trump’s support. He won the state 63-27 over Hillary Clinton in 2016, making it an uphill battle for Heitkamp.
Indiana: Looks like the home state of Vice President Mike Pence is coming home for Republicans. Former Rep. Mike Braun (R-Ind.) is leading Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.) by two points, 49-47, in the Axios/SurveyMonkey poll.

That’s a close race, to be sure, but Indiana is another deep red state. Not only did Trump win handily, 57-38, in 2016, but he took seven of the state’s nine congressional districts. Donnelly has his work cut out for him.

Democrats are leading in races for two GOP-controlled seats, in Nevada and Arizona, although there is still plenty of time for Republicans to turn those races around.

However, even if they won those, the current polls show them losing the other three and barely holding in Missouri, where Sen. Claire McCaskill clings to 2-point lead over her Republican challenger, state Attorney General Josh Hawley.

That means instead of a 51-49 Senate, it would actually turn into 52-48 GOP majority… still not enough to overcome all forms of Democratic stonewalling, but more than enough to protect the conservative agenda.

In the House, it still seems likely that the Republicans will lose seats – but it’s looking less likely that it’ll change hands.

Just months ago, the TV talking heads were predicting a Democratic blowout would give them control over the chamber.

Now, a CBS News/YouGov tracking poll puts the odds at just 50/50.

— The Horn editorial team

Saturday, July 7, 2018

Although Early, The Blue Wave May Get Swamped!

Friday, June 1, 2018

Are The Democrats Going To Be Disappointed In The Fall?

Wednesday, May 23, 2018

If Only The Elections Were Today!

Nancy Pelosi STUNNED by poll shocker (oh boy!)

MAY 23, 2018

Since badly losing a series of elections to Republicans, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi has used her remaining political influence to hold onto power based using one simple promise.

Pelosi has vowed to deliver a “blue wave” and sweep huge numbers of liberals into office in the 2018 midterm election.

A stunning new poll just shattered that dream to pieces.

The stakes are high for the longtime California Democratic leader. Win, and Pelosi maintains power for years. Lose, and she’s fired. Which means this Reuters poll has likely left Pelosi in a blind panic

According to Reuters, the so-called “blue wave” has completely reversed itself. In a generic poll match-up, voters across the country say they’re more eager to vote Republican than Democrat in the next election.

“Of the 1,139 people surveyed earlier this month, 40.4 percent said they would vote for a Republican in their district in November, up from 32.4 percent of those who were surveyed in December 2017,” according to The Federalist. “Only 34.5 percent of respondents said they planned to vote for a Democrat in their district in the upcoming election, down from 45.5 percent in December.”

After two years of constant attacks on “deplorable” voters, the American people have decided they are sick of Pelosi and the establishment Democrats. With just months until the high-stakes elections in November, even liberal pollsters are predicting Pelosi will be thrown out of office.

That is very, very bad news for Pelosi’s job prospects in November.