It was just released, the leaders of Newt's campaign for President have resigned. What does this mean for his Presidential hopes? Will he get new staff? What effect will this have on the others in the race?
All good questions and which will play out over the next year and a half. However, as I have never been hesitant to predict the future, here are my ideas.
Until recently I have always thought that Newt was one of the most brilliant thinkers in the Conservative movement. His approach to the problems facing the United States have most of the time rung true with me. However, since he has been running, there seems to be something amiss. His approach to the Ryan proposals was ham-handed and his comments on Sarah Palin are just plain weird. He seemed to want to make himself different, but it just came out wrong.
If all these differences were his idea or his campaign management, I do not know but there was something strange going on. Newt should have tried to differentiate himself from the rest of the crowd by the force of his ideas. He did not need to get into the mud, he just needed to present innovative conservative ideas which would make him different. By trying to be something different than Newt, he (or his campaign managers) made a mistake.
However, he was never my candidate. I thought and still do, that he has too much baggage. Most people have heard about the marital issues and those who believe in family values are not impressed with the way in which he divorced his ex-wives. There is something missing when wives can be spun off with scarcely a sidewards glance. Obviously Calista is concerned as she is by his side most of the time. Does she know something that we do not?
It is my belief that Newt will create another team of people to run his campaign, but my prediction is that the campaign will soon end as he will not get the support in the first primaries. He probably will be one of the first active candidates to bow out. On the other hand, if a new team could return to Newt being Newt, there is a chance he could be viable. Unfortunately, that is a low percentage bet.
This is not to say that Newt cannot have a role in the campaign of the eventual Republican candidate, that is if he can go back into the visionary role that he so aptly showed in the 1992 elections. If he does that, he can and will be a valuable contributor to Conservative politics. Can he, is the question or will he be so hurt that he goes back to teach at a University? I would hope we would not lose him.
It is obvious that Newt leaving the stage would help a number of candidates including Mitt Romney, the current front runner. His name recognition made him viable potential Presidential material. If and when he pulls out that vacuum has to go to the other "names" in the race.
In later posts, I will go over the cast of candidates who are placing their hats/bonnets in the ring and let you know who I think will be the eventual winner to be the Republican candidate.
As usual, if you disagree or agree, please give me your thoughts.
Tom
All good questions and which will play out over the next year and a half. However, as I have never been hesitant to predict the future, here are my ideas.
Until recently I have always thought that Newt was one of the most brilliant thinkers in the Conservative movement. His approach to the problems facing the United States have most of the time rung true with me. However, since he has been running, there seems to be something amiss. His approach to the Ryan proposals was ham-handed and his comments on Sarah Palin are just plain weird. He seemed to want to make himself different, but it just came out wrong.
If all these differences were his idea or his campaign management, I do not know but there was something strange going on. Newt should have tried to differentiate himself from the rest of the crowd by the force of his ideas. He did not need to get into the mud, he just needed to present innovative conservative ideas which would make him different. By trying to be something different than Newt, he (or his campaign managers) made a mistake.
However, he was never my candidate. I thought and still do, that he has too much baggage. Most people have heard about the marital issues and those who believe in family values are not impressed with the way in which he divorced his ex-wives. There is something missing when wives can be spun off with scarcely a sidewards glance. Obviously Calista is concerned as she is by his side most of the time. Does she know something that we do not?
It is my belief that Newt will create another team of people to run his campaign, but my prediction is that the campaign will soon end as he will not get the support in the first primaries. He probably will be one of the first active candidates to bow out. On the other hand, if a new team could return to Newt being Newt, there is a chance he could be viable. Unfortunately, that is a low percentage bet.
This is not to say that Newt cannot have a role in the campaign of the eventual Republican candidate, that is if he can go back into the visionary role that he so aptly showed in the 1992 elections. If he does that, he can and will be a valuable contributor to Conservative politics. Can he, is the question or will he be so hurt that he goes back to teach at a University? I would hope we would not lose him.
It is obvious that Newt leaving the stage would help a number of candidates including Mitt Romney, the current front runner. His name recognition made him viable potential Presidential material. If and when he pulls out that vacuum has to go to the other "names" in the race.
In later posts, I will go over the cast of candidates who are placing their hats/bonnets in the ring and let you know who I think will be the eventual winner to be the Republican candidate.
As usual, if you disagree or agree, please give me your thoughts.
Tom
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