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Saturday, January 9, 2016

Our Predictions--Bush For Republicans And Obama For The Democratic Nomination

2016 Update: Are the Parties
Close to Picking Nominees?

  • Jan 9, 2016 
  • Source: AAN 
  • by: Jim Ellis
Jim Ellis covers the polls...

The first 2016 presidential campaign votes 
will actually be cast next month in Iowa, 
New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada
 and, at this point, former Secretary of State 
Hillary Clinton appears to be a lock for the 
Democratic nomination.  Though the latest
 polling certainly shows Vermont Sen. Bernie
 Sanders competitive with Ms. Clinton in Iowa 
and New Hampshire, he trails badly in all of the southern states and in the important Super
Delegate category.  Much of the South will vote in the March 1st Super Tuesday primary,
 meaning the nomination fight will likely be over at that time. 

For Republicans, a long process will begin in February.  In Iowa, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) leads 
in most polls, but Donald Trump has substantial polling advantages in the other three February
 states and most of those voting on Super Tuesday.  Still, it appears no one is on a path to 
capture the nomination on the first ballot, which could mean the first deadlocked political 
convention since Wendell Willkie became the Republican standard bearer on the sixth
 ballot at the 1940 GOP convention.  The last time a convention went longer than the 
Willkie-Thomas E. Dewey battle occurred all the way back in 1920 when then-Ohio 
Sen. Warren G. Harding won the Republican nomination on the 11th ballot after 
securing just 5% of the vote on the first roll call. 

The GOP race is very fluid, and it would not be surprising to see a second tier candidate
rise to competitive status in the early February states.  Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) may 
become the candidate most of the establishment backs, and New Jersey Gov. Chris 
Christie may be positioned well enough to by-pass former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. 
 Such an occurrence would almost assuredly end Bush’s effort and possibly allow 
Christie to become the dark horse February candidate.  Source: AAN
- See more at:

Trump Is Beatable But With What Result?

Establishment for Trump?

  • Jan 9, 2016 
  • Source: AAN 
  • by: AAN Staff
The GOP Establishment is in a tough spot. 
Their preferred candidates- Jeb Bush and 
Marco Rubio- lag far behind front-runners
 Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and Ben Carson. 
With Carson fading, they may be forced to
 choose between the top two. Their choice
It is more than an open secret that the Republican Establishment so hates
Ted Cruz that they are more and more openly rooting for Donald Trump

to win Iowa.

I just got today’s Hotline from National Journal. It is behind a pay wall,

but it is worth noting their top story confirms what I have been seeing

and hearing. Josh Kraushaar writes,

It’s the $64,000 question for establishment-minded Republicans:

Would they rather see Ted Cruz or Donald Trump win the Iowa

caucuses, assuming none of the more moderate candidates prevail?

In an informal survey of senior GOP strategists, the clear winner was

Trump. Their arguments were reasoned but underscored: a) how

they’re still underestimating Trump; and b) how much they personally

hate Cruz to the point where emotion is trumping strategy.

The Establishment thinking is that if Trump beats Cruz in Iowa, they

can then beat Trump with Rubio, Bush, or Christie.
It's an interesting strategy, but will it work? 
 Source: AAN
- See more at:

San Francisco Baptism Gets Employee Fired. Is This A Violation Of Freedom Of Religion?

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A lawsuit has been filed by a former maintenance worker at Maritime National Historic Park in San Francisco for being fired after performing a baptism for a park visitor during his lunch break.
The case has been documented by Courthouse News, which said Roger Holly’s complaint against the Department of the Interior and his supervisors appeared this week in federal court.
Court documents say Holly, a Baptist minister, reported he baptized a park visitor in the ocean during his lunch break in November 2013. He reported he was out of uniform and simply “helped dunk the visitor into the ocean.”
“The religious ‘ceremony’ Holly performed did not include any outward, objective display of religion, such as reading sacred texts, public prayer, sermonizing or the like. It simply appeared that two persons were swimming in the ocean, much like other park visitors,” CN quoted from the complaint.
He then was interrogated by his supervisor, Robert Kier, who is named as defendant.
Holly reported he assured Kier he would not baptize someone while he was supposed to be working, or in his National Park Service uniform.
But he was terminated shortly after.
The complaint notes, “The final agency decision further noted defendant Kier’s testimony that ‘he discussed with complainant the inappropriateness of it [talking to people that needed or wanted Jesus] because religious matters are to remain one’s personal domain.”
The claim suggests a racial overtone to the case involving Holly, who is black.
“He also claims he was not allowed to invite people into the maintenance shop because of his race, though other employees were allowed to bring family and friends inside,” CN reported.
The case was brought by Alan Reinach, of the Church State Council, a religious liberty ministry of the Pacific Union Conference of Seventh-day Adventists.
Baptism by immersion, as opposed to baptism by sprinkling or another method, is practiced by numerous Christian denominations, including most Baptists.

Copyright 2016 WND