Although Rubio came into the latest debate on a hot streak after Iowa, his appearance hit a major roadblock in the name of Chris Christie. The New Jersey Governor threw Rubio off his game and all the senator could do was to repeat his talking points about Obama. Very bad performance and not an indication of his being quick on his feet. We expect his numbers will drop.
Will it hurt Rubio, probably. He was weaker than in the past. Kasich did himself well as did Christie. Carson was asked only a handful of questions so his appearance probably will be the last one. Bush was better than in the past but we feel he is, uninspiring but the "establishment GOP" still loves him, so he will soldier on.
Cruz was OK but did not hurt himself or improve his situation. Trump seemed to be able to be above the fray with the exception of his statement on "eminent domain" on which he was challenged for his use in New Jersey. He was weak on his answer.
The debate started off with what one commentator called a "giant cluster fark". The candidates, starting off with Carson, could not hear their names so there was a major traffic jam as the men kept waiting before going onto the stage. Kasich even was not introduced until one of the candidates asked if they were going to bring him on. A major screw up by the network.
Our summary:
Trump continues to be the leader and increases his support
Cruz stays about the same
Rubio drops significantly
Bush keeps about the same position
Christie will improve his standing by a couple points
Carson will drop significantly. He's a nice guy but not ready for prime time.
Kasich will increase significantly.
The loser was Rubio and the winner Kasich. Otherwise everything else looked like it will be status quo.
Conservative Tom
Suffolk/Boston Globe Poll: Trump Up By 10 Points on Rubio in NH
Friday, 05 Feb 2016 04:40 PM
Donald Trump has a 10-point lead among GOP presidential candidates, with Florida Sen. Marco Rubio closing in, a new poll of New Hampshire voters shows.
The Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll released Friday also finds one-third of GOP voters say they could still change their mind by Tuesday's first-in-the-nation primary.
Here's the GOP presidential candidates' breakdown:
"What a difference a caucus makes," David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University, tells the Globe.
"By exceeding expectations in Iowa, Marco Rubio is converting likability to electability even more so than Ted Cruz, who, like many conservative Iowa winners of the past like Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, can’t seem to convert an Iowa win into a major showing in New Hampshire."
On the Democratic side, the poll finds former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton down to a single-digit lag behind the front-runner in the Granite State, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders:
Here's where the Democratic candidates stand:
But it also finds GOP voters feel quite differently about backing the current front-runner in the general election: only half of voters say they'd be "enthusiastic" or "satisfied" with Trump as the party's standard-bearer.
Among Democrats, 71 percent of Democrats said the same thing about Sanders, and 68 percent said that about Clinton.
The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.
The Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll released Friday also finds one-third of GOP voters say they could still change their mind by Tuesday's first-in-the-nation primary.
- Trump: 29 percent
- Rubio: 19 percent
- Ohio Gov. John Kasich: 13 percent
- Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush: 10 percent
- Sen. Ted Cruz: 7 percent
- New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie: 5 percent
- Retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson: 4 percent.
"What a difference a caucus makes," David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University, tells the Globe.
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"By exceeding expectations in Iowa, Marco Rubio is converting likability to electability even more so than Ted Cruz, who, like many conservative Iowa winners of the past like Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, can’t seem to convert an Iowa win into a major showing in New Hampshire."
Here's where the Democratic candidates stand:
- Sanders: 50 percent
- Hillary Clinton: 41 percent
Among Democrats, 71 percent of Democrats said the same thing about Sanders, and 68 percent said that about Clinton.
The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.
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