Hillary And The "News" Media--Two Birds Of A Feather. Both Lie Upon Command

ELECTIONS, LATEST NEWS, MUDSLINGING, POLITICIANS

 2  7

WOW! CBS, NBC So Desperate for Hillary That 

They Just Did This Crazy Thing

You may have heard about the recent polls showing Hillary Clinton with a whopping six to seven point lead over Donald Trump. The way the major networks are portraying it, its all but lights out for Trump. 

But when you step back and look at the facts, a very different picture begins to emerge. Apparently, the poll significantly oversampled Democrats and Clinton and Trump are in a virtual tie.

The American Thinker reports:

CBS News is now pushing the pro-Hillary Clinton polls in rapid fashion. Late on Wednesday, this media outlet released the results of a national poll claiming to show that Clinton holds a 6% advantage over Donald Trump in the direct head-to-head matchup.

Apparently, the poll “was conducted by telephone June 9-13, 2016 among a random sample of 1,280 adults nationwide, including 1,048 registered voters[.] … The data have been weighted to reflect U.S. Census figures on demographic variables.”

However, based on the polling details, the final weighted sample of 976 registered voters is made up of just 28% Republicans and 35% Democrats.

In the unweighted sample of registered voters, the relative percentage by party was 29% Republicans and 35% Democrats.

So, during the weighting process, the poll increased the Democrat-Republican spread from 6% to 7%. This relative weighting should have been headed in the other direction.

According to nationwide polling data, Republican Party affiliation has averaged 28% for 2016 so far, and it also averaged 28% since the start of May. This agrees well with the CBS News poll’s composition.

On the other hand, the last time the Democrats were at 35% was early March…of 2013. Since May of this year, Democratic party affiliation has averaged 29%, just 1% higher than the Republicans, not 7% higher.

As a result, this CBS News poll appears to be biased in favor of the Democrats by the same margin that Clinton purportedly holds over Trump, meaning that if the bias is removed, so is Clinton’s lead, and we have a statistical tie.

The NBC poll that showed Clinton up 7 points over Trump was no better. The Daily Mail reports:

Hillary Clinton has opened up a 7-point lead over Donald Trump in an online poll that seems to reflect a ‘bounce’ for the former secretary of state after she wrapped up the Democratic nomination last week.

But the weekly tracking poll, from NBC News and the Surveymonkey company, included the opinions of 7 per cent more self-identified Democrats than Republicans – the same margin as the poll’s topline result.

That raises questions about the 49-42 result…

…he most recent Gallup polling on the subject, published in January, found the Democrats had just a 3 per cent advantage nationally. In that same survey, Republican-dominated states outnumbered those populated mostly by Democrats, by a 20-12 margin.

The raw information collected by Surveymonkey each week has generated a distribution of Democrats and Republicans that appears random, and it’s unclear how much it was tweaked to fall in line with Census and Labor Department numbers.

The polling data show nearly all the organization’s results this year have ‘oversampled’ Democrats. But one week’s results, published in January, included more Republicans.

Adding the sampling disparity to the poll’s margins of error, each of the last six week’s results can be seen as a dead heat if Democrats and Republicans were to come to the polls in roughly equal numbers this year.

Does it surprise you to learn that NBC and CBS are so far in the bag for Hillary that they’re willing to throw all their credibility out the window?

ELECTIONS, LATEST NEWS, MUDSLINGING, POLITICIANS

 2  7

WOW! CBS, NBC So Desperate for Hillary That They Just Did This Crazy Thing

You may have heard about the recent polls showing Hillary Clinton with a whopping six to seven point lead over Donald Trump. The way the major networks are portraying it, its all but lights out for Trump. 

But when you step back and look at the facts, a very different picture begins to emerge. Apparently, the poll significantly oversampled Democrats and Clinton and Trump are in a virtual tie.

The American Thinker reports:

CBS News is now pushing the pro-Hillary Clinton polls in rapid fashion. Late on Wednesday, this media outlet released the results of a national poll claiming to show that Clinton holds a 6% advantage over Donald Trump in the direct head-to-head matchup.

Apparently, the poll “was conducted by telephone June 9-13, 2016 among a random sample of 1,280 adults nationwide, including 1,048 registered voters[.] … The data have been weighted to reflect U.S. Census figures on demographic variables.”

However, based on the polling details, the final weighted sample of 976 registered voters is made up of just 28% Republicans and 35% Democrats.

In the unweighted sample of registered voters, the relative percentage by party was 29% Republicans and 35% Democrats.

So, during the weighting process, the poll increased the Democrat-Republican spread from 6% to 7%. This relative weighting should have been headed in the other direction.

According to nationwide polling data, Republican Party affiliation has averaged 28% for 2016 so far, and it also averaged 28% since the start of May. This agrees well with the CBS News poll’s composition.

On the other hand, the last time the Democrats were at 35% was early March…of 2013. Since May of this year, Democratic party affiliation has averaged 29%, just 1% higher than the Republicans, not 7% higher.

As a result, this CBS News poll appears to be biased in favor of the Democrats by the same margin that Clinton purportedly holds over Trump, meaning that if the bias is removed, so is Clinton’s lead, and we have a statistical tie.

The NBC poll that showed Clinton up 7 points over Trump was no better. The Daily Mail reports:

Hillary Clinton has opened up a 7-point lead over Donald Trump in an online poll that seems to reflect a ‘bounce’ for the former secretary of state after she wrapped up the Democratic nomination last week.

But the weekly tracking poll, from NBC News and the Surveymonkey company, included the opinions of 7 per cent more self-identified Democrats than Republicans – the same margin as the poll’s topline result.

That raises questions about the 49-42 result…

…he most recent Gallup polling on the subject, published in January, found the Democrats had just a 3 per cent advantage nationally. In that same survey, Republican-dominated states outnumbered those populated mostly by Democrats, by a 20-12 margin.

The raw information collected by Surveymonkey each week has generated a distribution of Democrats and Republicans that appears random, and it’s unclear how much it was tweaked to fall in line with Census and Labor Department numbers.

The polling data show nearly all the organization’s results this year have ‘oversampled’ Democrats. But one week’s results, published in January, included more Republicans.

Adding the sampling disparity to the poll’s margins of error, each of the last six week’s results can be seen as a dead heat if Democrats and Republicans were to come to the polls in roughly equal numbers this year.

Does it surprise you to learn that NBC and CBS are so far in the bag for Hillary that they’re willing to throw all their credibility out the window?