TRUMP CAN'T BEAT HILLARY? REALLY?
Exclusive: Joseph Farah deflates argument that Clinton will crush GOP front-runner
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JOSEPH FARAH About | Email | Archive
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GOP front-runner Donald Trump (Photo: Twitter)
I continue to be amazed by those pundits who suggest Donald Trump can’t beat Hillary Clinton.
There are three principal reasons for such faulty conclusions:
- These folks are working under the strictures of an old paradigm. That is the one that says Democrats start out with a base of unlosable states and electoral votes and need only to win two or more swing states.
- Polls taken today, before the Trump-Hillary campaign even begins.
- Trump’s high negatives.
Let’s look at one big reason none of these factors will come into play after the conventions.
The success of Trump’s earth-shaking bid for the presidency to date is actually unprecedented in America’s modern political history.
Try to think of any figure in the last 100 years who burst onto the scene, having never sought political office, and made such an immediate impression – winning the passionate support of Republicans, independents and Democrats and so many primaries in diverse states to become the front-runner for the nomination of his party.
Immediately, some might say, “Well, he’s a billionaire who is self-funding his campaign!” That’s true. But it literally has nothing to do with his success. Why? Because he really hasn’t needed to spend any serious money to accomplish his objectives. In fact, several candidates who have dropped out of the running spent far more. You can’t point to a single victory by Trump in any state in which he spent more than his opponents.
Trump’s money simply hasn’t been a factor in his success. He hasn’t needed to spend it. That may be the most astonishing and revealing fact of this historic campaign so far. In other words, he’s saving it for Hillary!
Given what Trump has accomplished in what we call “earned” media, which is all free, what do you suppose he could do with $1 billion of his own money? Personally, I can’t even imagine. But I can imagine the kind of legitimate attack ads that can be put together on Hillary. So far, she has not faced any real adversity except from her left flank. And she’s still floundering. There’s no enthusiasm for her. She can’t turn out crowd, and she can’t turn them on. Compare that to what Trump has mustered – record crowds, long voting lines, excitement and domination of the news delivered by people who despise him.
That’s the new paradigm I refer to above.
There’s simply never been a candidacy like this – deserved or not. And, remember, I say this as a Ted Cruz supporter.
That’s why the polls matching up Hillary versus Trump are meaningless today, as I’ve pointed out before. Just look back at the Ronald Reagan landslide of 1980 for the precedent. He was far behind Jimmy Carter in the polls at this stage of the campaign and won 44 states that year, including New York and California.
Trump has also demonstrated the ability to attract new voters – people who long ago dropped out of politics altogether because they were fed up with the choice between tweedle-dee and tweedle-dum. He has demonstrated his ability to win over die-hard Democrats. He has demonstrated his ability to win independents.
What about his high negatives?
Look at Hillary.
She is seen as dishonest. She is not likable. She has no accomplishments – in or out of politics – to cite. She’s not even scoring high among women.
The Trump versus Hillary matchup will be a very tough campaign. Who do you think is better positioned to slug it out? Has Hillary demonstrated an ability to win a national campaign? In 2008, she had everything going for her. The entire Democratic establishment was behind her then, too. But she couldn’t beat a new face with bigger promises. This year, she has struggled against Bernie Sanders, heretofore seen as a fringe old face.
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again. Should Trump win the nomination, he will be positioned for a landmark drubbing of his opponent. It could be 1980 all over again.
Read more at http://www.wnd.com/2016/03/trump-cant-beat-hillary-really/#efyPwwhVAYSVbtIk.99
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