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Showing posts with label election of 2014. Show all posts
Showing posts with label election of 2014. Show all posts

Thursday, November 6, 2014

Americans Rebel Against Obama's Agenda Sending Democrats To The Woodshed.

Revenge of the middle class

Hello. I’m Wayne Allyn Root for Personal Liberty. I don’t mean to say “I told you so,” but I told you so!
I was the first political commentator in the country to predict a GOP landslide in Tuesday’s election. I described the predicted GOP landslide as “massive and historic.” I made the prediction not only here at Personal Liberty but for weeks now on hundreds of radio stations, American TV, Canadian TV and at Fox News.
Tuesday’s results literally define “massive and historic.” The GOP needed to win six U.S. Senate seats. It looks like they’ve won a remarkable nine (with a comfortable lead in Alaska and a projected win in the December Louisiana runoff). The 12 House seats won by the GOP now expand the GOP majority to historic levels.
But there are more highlights. The GOP destroyed Jimmy Carter’s grandson in Georgia’s governor race. Governor Scott Walker was re-elected in Wisconsin despite tens of millions of dollars spent by unions across the country. The GOP elected governors in deep, deep blue states like Illinois, Massachusetts and Maryland. Barack Obama himself campaigned for the Democrat governor candidate Anthony Brown in Maryland. The man that some in the media called “mini Obama” went down to a stunning defeat. Michelle Obama campaigned for Senator Mark Pryor in Arkansas. He lost big time in the same state where he won 79 percent of the vote only six years ago. Hillary and Bill Clinton campaigned all over the country; almost every candidate they supported was wiped out (only Senator Jeanne Sheehan in New Hampshire won). And the defeat of a Democratic governor in the president’s home state hasn’t happened since 1892. When I predicted “massive and historic,” I might have understated the results!
So what happened? How did I know what was about to transpire?
This was a total rejection, repudiation and condemnation of everything Obama believes in. This was middle class America telling Obama to shove it where the sun don’t shine. I wrote the national bestseller “The Murder of the Middle Class” pointing out what Obama and his socialist cabal were doing to America, capitalism and the great American middle class. What we all just witnessed was a middle-class uprising. This was the revenge of the middle class.
What woke the sleeping giant? What caused the middle class to rise up against Obama? In my previous commentaries I explained that the root of Obama’s Election Day debacle would be the Obama lies about the economy and the twin disasters of Obamacare and Ebola.
Let’s start with the economy. Obama constantly repeats the lie that the “economy is improving” and “we are in recovery.” But middle-class America knows otherwise. The election results prove middle-class voters are no longer buying Obama’s lies or the government’s manipulated economic statistics. In exit polls 70 percent of voters said the economy is bad, versus 30 percent that called it “improving.”
Then there’s the centerpiece of this middle-class economic disaster known as “Obamacare.” Millions of Americans have either seen theirhealth insurance canceled or gotten dramatic premium price increases. These were the angry, intense, motivated voters of the2014 midterm elections. This was a vote to gain revenge on the man who promised, “If you like your insurance, you can keep your insurance.”
Then there’s Ebola. Obama’s response to this potential deadly pandemic has ranged from inept and incompetent to downright dangerous. Look no further than the new Ebola czar, who has no medical background and who has never been seen again since the day his appointment was announced. Maybe he’s in quarantine. Ebola made it clear to angry middle-class Americans that our president is not keeping our children safe at night. I always believed that Ebola was simply “the straw that broke the camel’s back.” Ebola may have so far only killed one person in America, but it just killed the entire Democratic Party.
Now throw in our open southern border, Obama’s failure to foresee the rise of ISIS, his lack of a coherent strategy to fight ISIS and this jobless economy, and anyone but a Washington, D.C., insider could clearly see a Democratic Party disaster in Tuesday’s election.
But the reality is elections aren’t won or lost just based on issues. Elections are won based on “the ground game.” It’s not who supports a candidate or party that matters; it’s who brings the most voters to the polls. Back in 2012, Obama put together the most sophisticated “ground game” to get out the Democratic vote in the history of American politics.
The GOP failed miserably at the same “ground game.” The GOP actually had no ground game. Their new “get out the vote” system (named ORCA) bombed on the morning of the national election, meaning the GOP never turned out a single vote.
The failure of the GOP vote tracking system changed the outcome of the entire presidential election. Having no idea if your most loyal voters have gone to the polls or not is like flying a plane blind.
Fast-forward to today. Two crucial political developments have changed in favor of the GOP. These are the two concrete reasons for the GOP landslide:
  • First, the GOP is now for the first time effectively competing with the Obama machine in the “ground game.” The GOP turn-out-the-vote machine was so effective this time around that the GOP actually pulled even with Democrats or led in early voting in places where Republicans often lose by large percentages. This is very good news. As a matter of fact, it had never happened before. Republicans always lose the early voting, then desperately try to play catch-up on Election Day. No more.
  • Second, there are now voter ID laws in place in 15 states where none existed in 2012 and in 22 states where none existed in 2010. Not only are Democrats great at getting out the vote, they are even better at getting out fraudulent voters and illegal immigrant votes. Voter ID prevents election fraud. That is very bad news for Obama and his allies moving forward. If they can’t cheat and steal elections, they’ll have a much harder time winning elections.
Tuesday’s “massive and historic” GOP landslide will usher in a dramatic rebuke to Obama and a dramatic change in political power in Washington, D.C. The question is: What will the GOP do with it?
The answers to these questions will determine the future of the Republican Party, American politics and America itself. There is so much to do. Let’s get to work.
I’m Wayne Allyn Root for Personal Liberty. Let’s all celebrate for a few days. We deserve it. See you next week. God bless America.

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Anyone Who Thinks Republicans Are Going To Walk Away With The Elections Is Smoking Funny Cigarettes.

Yes, if the election were to be held today, Republicans would win walking away. However, we have not seen the Democratic machine and its "friends" in the media turn on the spin!
Several things are going to occur which will turn the results around for the Dems. ObamaCrapCare will be protrayed as a success therefore eliminating the problems with the program. We already are starting to see puff pieces promoting the benefits of the program. It will be told that Obamacare has enrolled millions while the truth is that few of the former "uninsured" will be covered. Pressure will mount on insurance companies to keep down the talk of increases in premium. For someone who would be dropped into the middle of the election cycle, they would believe the program was a roaring success.  

Secondly and probably most important, the Republican party is a mess. They shoot at each other over the stupidest things and are far from a united party. We suspect that many Tea Party members who run against Democrats will not be supported by the GOP leaving them to fend for themselves and probably lose as their funding will not be able to compete with the Democrat machine.

Lastly, the Democrats can depend on the lapdog media to support their candidates and to actively demonstrate the weaknesses of their opponents.

Should the Republicans wake up and smell the roses, they could win. The table is set for them to run it, however, we doubt they can take advantage.

Conservative Tom


The Conventional Wisdom Is Wrong. Obamacare Isn't Dooming Democrats in November

The Atlantic Wire 
The conventional wisdom says that the botched Obamacare rollout and the program's general unpopularity are dooming Democratic chances in November, but it's wrong. Even with Obamacare's problems compounded by multiple tweaks and delays (including the newest), Democrats would be in a similarly bad position, no matter what.
There's a good overview of the two main parties' strengths and weaknesses from Thomas Edsall in The New York Times, using the upcoming midterm elections as a way to talk about the long-term prospects of each party. It's thorough, if unsurprising: the Democratic strength with young and non-white voters is likely to be an asset in 2016 and beyond.
Edsall also pins the party's current problems on Obamacare. "The damage inflicted on the Democratic Party by the dysfunctional website and the reaction to it is hard to overestimate," he writes, noting poll data from Real Clear Politics on a generic congressional ballot. "As the figure illustrates, the generic vote shifted from a 5.5 percentage point Democratic advantage on Oct. 15, 2013, to a 2.5 percentage point Republican advantage on Dec. 2." That's a very brief version of the long-running argument: the Florida special election showed that people are freaked about the law; nearly half the country wants to repeal it.
What Edsall glosses over, though, is that the congressional ballot data was artificially inflated by the complete train wreck of the government shutdown, which completely tanked Republican poll numbers. The Healthcare.gov mess certainly meant that the Democrats lost an opportunity to capitalize on a surprising lead — a lead that was always bound to decline to some extent.
In fact, Obama and the Democrats hoped that Obamacare would provide a bulwark against the natural advantage Republicans have seen in midterm elections over the past few decades. As The Hill noted last week, Democratic leaders have consistently predicted that the public would embrace Obamacare as it rolled out. That the roll-out was a mess meant, among other things, that any positive reaction to the bill would be muted.
If Obamacare isn't to blame for the Democrats' difficult election cycle, what is? For one thing, the most tightly contested races are happening in areas where the Democrats are weakest. "What we’re really seeing this cycle," Real Clear Politics election analyst Sean Trende told Edsall, "is a function of the Democrats’ declining ability to win white voters, especially in the South and border states."  Yes, Democrats are doing better with black and Latino voters, but those changes "simply are not helping them in many of the most competitive states this cycle: South Dakota, West Virginia, Montana, Michigan, Louisiana, Arkansas, Alaska, New Hampshire, and Iowa."
There's another demographic at play. Older voters consistently vote more regularly than do younger voters, as the chart at right from Pew Research shows. (In 2012, US News had a good analysis of some of the reasons why that was the case.) On Wednesday, Gallup pointed out why that is bad news for Democrats: older voters continue to skew more Republican. Seniors were more Democratic than younger Americans for more than 20 years until 2006. They've become less Democratic since then, and "have shown an outright preference for the Republican Party since 2010."
And Republicans have a natural turnout advantage anyway. According to American National Election Studies, Republican voters had a higher turnout rate than Democrats in every election between 1956 and 2008 except one: 1990.
But 2014 is likely going to be particularly bad thanks to two other factors.
The first, as we noted last week, is the unpopularity of Barack Obama. People are prepared to vote against candidates that are aligned with or support the White House, making Obama persona non grata on the campaign trail. It's tempting to assume that's because of Obamacare. But it isn't — at least, not entirely.
As you can see on the graph at right, which uses Real Clear Politics data, Obama's popularity took a big hit in the wake of the Healthcare.gov mess. But notice the trend of that red line, which marks his unpopularity. Since November 2012, when ads promoting Obama dropped off the air, his unpopularity has increased consistently. Take away that Obmacare-related bump, and where he is now looks like where he would have been anyway.
The other factor making life hard for the Democrats is the advent of Americans For Prosperity, a well-funded, brash entrant onto the political scene. It's legitimately contending with the Republican National Committee for attention and resources from Republican candidates, and, as Cook Political Report pointed out on Wednesday, it's already out-advertising Democrats in contested Senate and House races. That lets the RNC hold its powder until November.
What's AFP advertising about? Obamacare, as it did heavily in that Florida special election. But do you really think that if Obamacare had been rolled out flawlessly, AFP wouldn't have found something else to criticize Obama about?
November will be bad for Democrats, who hoped that Obama or Obamacare might have provided an energy boost that brought normally reticent Democrats to the polls. That won't happen. But if Obamacare never existed, it probably wouldn't have happened either.
Update, 11:30 a.m.: A new point of data that's worth conveying. The Kaiser Family Foundation's ongoing polling indicates that opposition to Obamacare is dropping. That's another point worth making: November is still a long way off.

Wednesday, February 26, 2014

Predictions Of GOP Success Are Misleading And Self Serving. Instead Republicans MUST Learn To Work With All Conservatives And Tea Party Members To Defeat Democrats And Progressives

Cantor Predicts GOP To Control All Of Congress

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Cantor Predicts GOP To Control All Of Congress
UPI FILE

WASHINGTON (UPI) — House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) predicted the Republican Party would win back control of the Senate in November and retain control of the House.
“I think it will be a good election year for us in the House, and I do also think that the Republicans will also do very well and take the Senate,” he told Fox Business Network.
But he said most people aren’t thinking about the midterm elections year.
“With the elections upcoming I think we’ve got to remember most people in the country aren’t so focused on that,” Cantor said. “They’re focused on their own difficulties right now in getting through the month and making sure their job is there, and we want to stay focused on those issues.
“I do think there is a lot in this economy right now that isn’t working for people,” he continued. “The House Republicans are for an America that works.”
The Democratic leadership did not comment on Cantor’s remarks.
Republicans have a 17-seat advantage in the House and need to gain six seats in the Senate to win control of that chamber.
Cantor said he wanted to focus on “increasing paychecks through job growth and competition” but discounted a Democratic proposal to hike the minimum wage, a priority outlined in President Barack Obama’s State of the Union address and something Democrats are trying to push in the House.
Instead, he pushed a bill that would repeal an Affordable Care Act provision that defines a full-time employee for health-insurance purposes as working 30 hours or more a week.
Cantor said this would lead to lost hours and income.
“What that means is let’s roll back the regulation under Obamacare which has taken the 40-hour workweek down to 30 hours,” he said. “If you just restore that, you are adding 25 percent to the wage earner’s paycheck.
“Those people making minimum wage who would benefit from that would almost be made equal to that which the president is calling for under his minimum wage hike,” Cantor said.

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Thanks But No Thanks. Democrats Offering Election Advice Should Be Disregarded.

Democrats: If The GOP Wants To Win Elections They’ll Ignore Obamacare

Hop in the van, kids, I have candy.

When the Democrats start giving you advice about how to win elections then you know you are onto something.
From the Washingon Post:
President Obama is in a political free fall. Democrats up for reelection in 2014 are furiously trying to get out from under the Affordable Care Act’s problems. Independent handicappers are predicting doom and gloom at the ballot box for the party next November.
In short, everything is coming up Republicans lately. But the GOP would be making a big mistake if it assumed that the problems with Obamacare were a panacea for all that ails the party. They aren’t.
In the view of the Democrats, if the Republicans really, really want to take advantage of the “stumble” on Obamacare they need to act on a lot of other stuff. We need to go after tax reform, and ENDA, and the Holy Grail: Comprehensive Immigration Reform.
The idea seems to be that now that the GOP is on the right side of an issue that has about 70% support it best course of action to ensure electoral success is to stop talking about that issue and move on to other issues where the GOP Caucus has rather dramatic fault lines or issues that can be demogogued by the Democrats.
The House GOP has the right idea:
In recent days, House GOP leaders signaled they are taking a go-slow approach on a tax-code overhaul. GOP aides said the bill could become an unwelcome distraction for Republicans, drawing public attention away from the health-law imbroglio.
In the tax-writing Ways and Means Committee, a tax overhaul already was considered a heavy lift because it requires difficult trade-offs between cutting taxes and eliminating deductions. The panel has other important issues on its plate as well, including major trade deals on the horizon.
The GOP faces two distinct priorities.  While related they aren’t necessarily interconnected. The first is routing the Democrats in 2014. To accomplish this the GOP doesn’t have to do anything but harp on Obamacare for the next year. Any action taken up by the House will provide the Democrats with a piñata and their media allies with a story to bump Obamacare off the front page. We can win the Senate and expand our House majority by the simple tactic of shutting up and sitting on our hands.
The second order problem facing the GOP is winning the White House in 2016.
Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post, in another fit of generosity on the part of Democrats trying to help the GOP win elections, offers this insight:
Opposing a president’s agenda might be enough to win a midterm election in which (largely base) voters are in the mood to send a message to the man in the White House. But simply saying “I am not that guy” is not even close to enough to win a presidential election. And that goes double for 2016, when Obama won’t be on the ballot and when the Republican brand could be in the gutter nationally. Need evidence of that brand problem? The same Quinnipiac University poll, released last week, that showed Obama reaching his low ebb in terms of job approval also showed a whopping 73 percent of registered voters expressing disapproval of how congressional Republicans are doing their jobs.
Opposition to what Obama has done is not a path to winning over Hispanics, women or young voters. To win in 2016, the Republican nominee will need to outline a set of policy prescriptions — education seems like a ripe area — that both changes the “old white guy” perception that looms over the party and appeals to some of the demographic groups that have moved away from the GOP in recent years.
(“Education seems like a ripe area?” Hey, Chris, 2000 called, it wants its campaign rhetoric back.)
There is really no evidence to indicate that anything he says here is useful or even accurate. In 2008, George W. Bush was not on the ballot and the Democrat candidate, a singularly mediocre first term senator named Barack Obama, ran on a platform was no more substantial than “I’m not George Bush, I’m the cool black guy.”
Whether the Democrats wish to admit it or not, Barack Obama will be very much a part of the election in 2016. The Democrat candidate will either have to defend what Obama has done or run from it. Neither will be very helpful.
At this point we should let 2016 take care of itself. Our nominee in 2016 should not be put in the position of defending an immigration bill or any other substantial piece of legislation. Rather he should be allowed the strategic leeway to present his own initiatives, should he choose to do so. But the way the Obamacare disaster is shaping up and with American foreign policy in a death spiral, saying “I’m not Barack Obama” could be a winning campaign issue.