Quinnipiac: Carson Leads Trump for First Time in Iowa
Thursday, 22 Oct 2015 07:45 AM
A new Quinnipiac poll released Thursday puts Ben Carson ahead of Donald Trump for the first time in Iowa, showing the retired neurosurgeon ahead by 28-20 percent among likely Iowa GOP Caucus participants.
The numbers are:
Trump, though, topped the poll's "no way" list, of voters who say they would not vote for him, while Carson got the lowest number of people who said they would not pick him:
"It's Ben Carson's turn in the spotlight," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.
"As they've been pondering for six months, many in the political world still are trying to understand Carson's appeal and how someone who seems to be operating outside the traditional news media/political environment is doing so well among the most conservative GOP voters," he continued. "Today's results show his appeal is especially strong among the state's sizeable white, evangelical Christian community, among whom Carson is receiving 36 percent, twice Trump's 17 percent," Brown added.
"Those who know Carson seem to like him. He has an almost unheard of 84 - 10 percent favorability rating among likely Republican Caucus-goers, compared to Trump's 53 - 43 percent rating."
On other issues:
The poll was conducted from Oct. 14-20 of 574 Iowa Republican Caucus participants, and carried a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
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The numbers are:
- Carson, 28 percent;
- Trump, 20 percent;
- Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, 13 percent;
- Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, 10 percent;
- Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, 6 percent;
- Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, 5 percent;
- Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, 3 percent;
- Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, 2 percent;
- Former Pennsylvania Gov. Rick Santorum, 1 percent;
- Former Virginia Sen. Jim Gilmore and South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, below 1 percent.
- Trump: 30 percent;
- Bush, 21 percent;
- Christie, 14 percent;
- Graham, 15 percent;
- Pataki, Paul, and Santorum, 10 percent;
- Kasich and Huckabee, 9 percent;
- Fiorina and Gilmore, 8 percent;
- Cruz, 7 percent;
- Rubio, 5 percent;
- Carson, 4 percent.
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"As they've been pondering for six months, many in the political world still are trying to understand Carson's appeal and how someone who seems to be operating outside the traditional news media/political environment is doing so well among the most conservative GOP voters," he continued. "Today's results show his appeal is especially strong among the state's sizeable white, evangelical Christian community, among whom Carson is receiving 36 percent, twice Trump's 17 percent," Brown added.
"Those who know Carson seem to like him. He has an almost unheard of 84 - 10 percent favorability rating among likely Republican Caucus-goers, compared to Trump's 53 - 43 percent rating."
On other issues:
- Trump tops Carson 41 - 12 percent on the economy;
- Trump over Carson 32 - 13 percent on taxes;
- Trump tops Carson 37 - 9 percent on illegal immigration;
- Rubio and Trump are close at 18 - 17 percent, respectively, on foreign policy, with Carson at 9 percent.
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- WaPo/ABC Poll: Trump Ahead of Carson By 10 Points
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