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Tuesday, May 9, 2017

Democrats Need To Trot Out More Hollywood Types If They Want To Continue To Lose

STUDY: Trump Didn’t Win Because Unemployed White Workers Were ‘Left Behind’ By The Economy. He Won Because Democrats Alienated Them With Their Culture War.

Screenshot: Twitter
Since President Trump’s election victory, we’ve heard experts proclaiming that it
 was Trump’s blue collar appeal that led him to the win. Free trade left Americans
in rust belt states behind; Trump promised to quash that free trade. Government
 subsidies went only to areas beyond the horizon; Trump promised to bring them
back. A solid mix of Democratic redistributionism and protectionism brought these
voters home.
But now a new study says that the real reason so many white blue collar
workers went for Trump had nothing to do with their Hillbilly Elegy economic
status. Instead, the data show that these voters were simply alienated by the
cultural myopia of Democrats, who have focused on an intersectionality-laden
 definition of American politics, labeling straight white men the bad guy in their
 bizarre morality play. According to PRRI/The Atlantic, a new model has been
 developed to measure the five most significant factors leading to support for
Trump among white working-class voters. The first was obvious: identification
 with the Republican Party.
The second was fear of cultural displacement – the data showed that “white
working-class voters who say they often feel like a stranger in their own land and
 believe the US needs protecting against foreign influence were 3.5 times more
 likely to favor Trump than those who did not share these concerns.” This is
where the Democratic Party has truly gone off the rails. By trotting out Hollywood
celebrities who deride flyover America as a bunch of Bible-thumping simpletons,
more and more Americans feel alienated inside their own country – and no Lena
Dunham speeches and Laverne Cox diatribes will reverse that. In fact, the more
 Dunham and Cox are thrust to the fore by the Democrats, the more people will
vote Republican in Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

The third factor: support for deporting immigrants living in the country illegally.
 Voters who supported deportation were “3.3 times more likely to express a
 preference for Trump than those who did not.” This was Ann Coulter’s thesis,
and it was correct: people feel that the culture is changing in the United States
not only due to the acidic effect of leftism, but due to the left’s overt desire to
 change American culture through unfettered immigration without concern for
assimilation. Workers in Ohio aren’t all that concerned about losing their jobs
 to illegal immigrants, but they are concerned about losing their country to people
coming from lands that do not share the same basic values.
The fourth factor: disdain for higher education. Again, this is a cultural hallmark,
 not an economic one. According to PRRI, “White working-class voters who said
that college education is a gamble were almost twice as likely to express a
preference for Trump as those who said it was an important investment in the
future.” That has less to do with people disdaining an engineering degree than
people seeing that liberal colleges have become breeding grounds for anti-
American “globalism” and anti-traditionalism.
The notion that these blue collar workers were deeply concerned with trade and
subsidies is belied by the fact that the fifth factor evaluated, economic hardship,
 actually correlated in reverse fashion with Trump voting: “being in fair or poor
financial shape actually predicted support among white working-class Americans,
 rather than support for Donald Trump.” These people – the people the media
 have suggested were completely taken in by Trump’s man of the people shtick –
 were actually 1.7 times more likely to support Clinton.
All of which suggests that the call from “moderate” Republicans to embrace
Democratic economics is a fools’ errand, and that dumping the Reagan
combination of social conservatism and free markets won’t actually guarantee
 a winning combination in the rust belt. Trumpism is less about Trump than about
 rejection of Obamaism and Clintonism. And that’s a good thing for conservatism
 and America.