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Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Will House Vote Crush ObamaCrapcare?

House will vote on GOP Obamacare replacement bill on Thursday

  • The vote will come almost two months after the aborted first vote on bill
  • The bill would repeal and replace key parts of the Affordable Care Act
  • Passage would send it to the Senate, where opposition may be stiff

The U.S. House of Representatives will vote Thursday on a controversial Republican bill that would repeal and replace key parts of Obamacare, the GOP's majority leader said.
"We're going tomorrow, yes we are," said Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif.
Asked he if had the votes to win passage of the bill, McCarthy told NBC News, "Yes we do."
"We will pass this bill," McCarthy said. "I feel great about the [vote] count."

Two senior GOP House sources confirm to NBC News the House will vote tomorrow on healthcare

House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wisc., said several days ago that he would not hold the vote without having those winning votes in hand. Thursday's scheduled vote will take place without the House having received an official projection of the costs of the revised bill, as well as estimates about how it will affect insurance premiums and the numbers of people with health coverage.
The expected vote will come a day after two leading Republicans, Reps. Billy Long and Fred Upton, agreed to switch their expected "no" votes on the bill to "yes" votes.
Long and Upton earlier this week had come out publicly against the bill because of a change made to it last week that would, in their view and in those of many others', weaken price protections for private individual plan insurance customers with pre-existing health conditions.
But on Wednesday, Long and Upton reversed their opinion after getting another amendment that would provide $8 billion in federal funding that would supposedly protect such customers from higher premiums.
Their reversal added momentum to the push for the vote. Another factor that may have played a role in the scheduling of the vote is a scheduled recess for the House at the end of this week.
Ryan and President Donald Trump were badly embarrassed in March when Ryan was forced to withdraw the bill from the House floor right before the first scheduled vote once it became clear it would fail.
On Wednesday evening, U.S. Secretary for Health and Human Services Tom Price wrote an op-ed for CNBC to make a plea for passage.
If the bill is passed Thursday, it would then go to the Senate, where it may face even more difficulty winning passage in its current form.
The bill would reform that way the federal government subsidizes purchases of individual health plans, and also how it funds Medicaid, the joint federal-state program that provides health coverage to primarily poor people.
Republicans hold majorities in both the House and Senate. But they have struggled for nearly two months to get enough GOP House members to support the bill, which will be uniformly opposed by Democrats.
Democrats are adamantly against making the kind of big changes to the Affordable Care Act that they GOP bill aims to accomplish.
And some Republican members have opposed the bill because they believe it would lead to higher premiums for many people, particularly older Americans and those with pre-existing health conditions, and also will lead to increases in the number of people without insurance.
A bloc of conservative GOP members opposed the bill because it did not go far enough in repealing Obamacare.
The vote, if it does take place Thursday, will occur without the House receiving a so-called "score" of the bill from the Congressional Budget Office.
The CBO, in analyzing an earlier version of the bill, projected that it would result in 24 million more Americans being uninsured by 2026 than would be the case if Obamacare remained in place as is. The CBO also estimated that premiums for individual health plans would spike by 15 to 20 percent higher in 2018 and 2019 than if Obamacare remained in effect in current form.

Is the party that ran on fiscal responsibility for a decade going to get a CBO score before voting on the health care bill?

The original version of the GOP was deeply unpopular among the public, garnering support from just 17 percent of Americans, according to one poll. It also has been opposed by a slew of patient advocates and health-care providers.
Announcement of Thursday's vote immediately sparked calls on Twitter by Obamacare supporters to rally allies to call members of Congress and urge them to vote against the bill.

Republicans have, ever since the Affordable Care Act became law in 2010, vowed to repeal it.
Since then, however, an estimated 20 million Americans have gained coverage through Obamacare, either under Medicaid, or individuals plans, or through their parents' plans if they are under age 26.
The law, in addition to funding coverage expansions, also barred insurers from charging customers more, or denying them insurance altogether, if they have pre-existing health problems.